A framework for considering the utility of models when facing tough decisions in public health: a guideline for policy-makers

Thompson, J; McClure, R; Scott, N; Hellard, M; Abeysuriya, R; Vidanaarachchi, R; Thwaites, J; Lazarus, JV; Lavis, J; Michie, S; Bullen, C; Prokopenko, M; Chang, SL; Cliff, OM; Zachreson, C; Blakely, A; Wilson, T; Ouakrim, DA; Sundararajan, Vijaya

doi:10.26181/23652300.v1

1211695_Thompson,J_2022.pdf (1.14 MB)

A framework for considering the utility of models when facing tough decisions in public health: a guideline for policy-makers

journal contribution

posted on 2023-07-10, 05:38 authored by J Thompson, R McClure, N Scott, M Hellard, R Abeysuriya, R Vidanaarachchi, J Thwaites, JV Lazarus, J Lavis, S Michie, C Bullen, M Prokopenko, SL Chang, OM Cliff, C Zachreson, A Blakely, T Wilson, DA Ouakrim, Vijaya SundararajanVijaya Sundararajan

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the combined disciplines of public health, infectious disease and policy modelling squarely into the spotlight. Never before have decisions regarding public health measures and their impacts been such a topic of international deliberation, from the level of individuals and communities through to global leaders. Nor have models—developed at rapid pace and often in the absence of complete information—ever been so central to the decision-making process. However, after nearly 3 years of experience with modelling, policy-makers need to be more confident about which models will be most helpful to support them when taking public health decisions, and modellers need to better understand the factors that will lead to successful model adoption and utilization. We present a three-stage framework for achieving these ends.

History

Publication Date

2022-10-08

Journal

Health Research Policy and Systems

Volume

20

Article Number

107

Pagination

7p.

Publisher

Springer Nature

ISSN

1478-4505

Rights Statement

© The Author(s) 2022. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.